Groundswell Spatial Population and Migration Projections at One-Eighth Degree According to SSPs and RCPs, 2010-2050
Identification_Information
Spatial_Data_Organization_Information
Spatial_Reference_Information
Distribution_Information
Metadata_Reference_Information
Identification Information
Section Index
Citation:
Citation Information:
Originator: CUNY Institute for Demographic Research - CIDR - City University of New York, Center for International Earth Science Information Network - CIESIN - Columbia University, and The World Bank
Publication Date: 20220708
Title: Groundswell Spatial Population and Migration Projections at One-Eighth Degree According to SSPs and RCPs, 2010-2050
Edition: 1.00
Geospatial Data Presentation Form: vector, map
Publication Information:
Publication Place: Palisades, NY
Publisher: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC)
Online Linkage: https://doi.org/10.7927/c5kq-fb78
Larger Work Citation:
Citation Information:
Originator: Rigaud, K.K., A. de Sherbinin, B. Jones, J. Bergmann, V. Clement, K. Ober, J. Schewe, S. Adamo, B. McCusker, S. Heuser, and A. Midgley
Publication Date: 20180319
Title: Groundswell: Preparing for Internal Climate Migration
Geospatial Data Presentation Form: report
Publication Information:
Publication Place: Washington, DC
Publisher: World Bank
Online Linkage: http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29461
Description:
Abstract:
The Groundswell Spatial Population and Migration Projections at One-Eighth Degree According to SSPs and RCPs, 2010-2050, data set provides a baseline population distribution for 2010 and projections from 2020 to 2050, in ten-year increments, of population distribution and internal climate-related and other migration. The projections are produced using the NCAR-CIDR Spatial Population Downscaling Model developed by the CUNY Institute for Demographic Research (CIDR) and the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). The model incorporates assumptions based on future development scenarios (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways or SSPs) and emissions trajectories (Representative Concentration Pathways or RCPs). The SSPs include SSP2, representing a middle-of-the road future, and SSP4, representing an unequal development future. Climate models using low and high emissions scenarios, RCP2.6 and RCP8.5, then drive climate impact models on crop productivity and water availability from the Inter-Sectoral Impacts Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP). Sea-level rise impacts in the coastal zone are estimated to be 1 meter under RCP2.6 and 2 meters under RCP8.5, to account for potential storm surge or coastal flooding. Three scenarios are generated, a pessimistic reference scenario combining SSP4 and RCP8.5, a more climate-friendly scenario combining SSP4 and RCP2.6, and a more inclusive development scenario combining SSP2 and RCP8.5, and each scenario represents an ensemble of four model runs combining different climate impact models. The modeling work was funded and developed jointly with The World Bank, and covers most World Bank client countries, with reports released in 2018 and 2021 that address different regions and provide full methodological details.
Purpose:
To provide a data set that allows users to understand how slow-onset climate change impacts on water availability and crop productivity, coupled with sea-level rise and storm surge, may affect the future population distribution and climate-related internal migration in low to middle income countries.
Time Period of Content:
Time Period Information:
Range of Dates/Times:
Beginning Date: 2010/01/01
Ending Date: 2050/12/31
Currentness Reference: publication date
Status:
Progress: Complete
Maintenance and Update Frequency: As needed
Spatial Domain:
Bounding Coordinates:
West Bounding Coordinate: -180.000000
East Bounding Coordinate: 180.000000
North Bounding Coordinate: 56.000000
South Bounding Coordinate: -56.000000
Keywords:
Theme:
Theme Keyword Thesaurus: Data Granularity
Theme Keyword: Country
Theme:
Theme Keyword Thesaurus: SEDAC Theme
Theme Keyword: Climate
Theme Keyword: Marine and Coastal
Theme Keyword: Population
Theme Keyword: Sustainability
Theme Keyword: Water
Theme:
Theme Keyword Thesaurus: ISO Topic
Theme Keyword: Planning/Cadastre
Theme Keyword: Society
Theme:
Theme Keyword Thesaurus: GCMD Science Keywords, Version 8.6
Theme Keyword: EARTH SCIENCE > CLIMATE INDICATORS > ATMOSPHERIC/OCEAN INDICATORS > SEA LEVEL RISE
Place:
Place Keyword Thesaurus: CIESIN Location Terms, Version 3.1
Place Keyword: Afghanistan
Place Keyword: Albania
Place Keyword: Algeria
Place Keyword: Angola
Place Keyword: Argentina
Place Keyword: Armenia
Place Keyword: Azerbaijan
Place Keyword: Bangladesh
Place Keyword: Belize
Place Keyword: Benin
Place Keyword: Bhutan
Place Keyword: Bolivia
Place Keyword: Bosnia and Herzegovina
Place Keyword: Botswana
Place Keyword: Brazil
Place Keyword: Bulgaria
Place Keyword: Burkina Faso
Place Keyword: Burundi
Place Keyword: Cape Verde
Place Keyword: Cambodia
Place Keyword: Cameroon
Place Keyword: Central African Republic
Place Keyword: Chad
Place Keyword: Chile
Place Keyword: China
Place Keyword: Colombia
Place Keyword: Comoros
Place Keyword: Congo, Democratic
Place Keyword: Congo
Place Keyword: Costa Rica
Place Keyword: Cote d'Ivoire
Place Keyword: Croatia
Place Keyword: Djibouti
Place Keyword: Ecuador
Place Keyword: Egypt
Place Keyword: El Salvador
Place Keyword: Equatorial Guinea
Place Keyword: Eritrea
Place Keyword: Eswatini
Place Keyword: Ethiopia
Place Keyword: French Guiana
Place Keyword: Gabon
Place Keyword: Gambia
Place Keyword: Georgia
Place Keyword: Ghana
Place Keyword: Guatemala
Place Keyword: Guinea
Place Keyword: Guinea-Bissau
Place Keyword: Guyana
Place Keyword: Honduras
Place Keyword: India
Place Keyword: Indonesia
Place Keyword: Kazakhstan
Place Keyword: Kenya
Place Keyword: Kosovo
Place Keyword: Kyrgyztan
Place Keyword: Laos
Place Keyword: Lesotho
Place Keyword: Liberia
Place Keyword: Libya
Place Keyword: Madagascar
Place Keyword: Malawi
Place Keyword: Malaysia
Place Keyword: Maldives
Place Keyword: Mali
Place Keyword: Mauritania
Place Keyword: Mauritius
Place Keyword: Mexico
Place Keyword: Mongolia
Place Keyword: Montenegro
Place Keyword: Morocco
Place Keyword: Mozambique
Place Keyword: Myanmar
Place Keyword: Namibia
Place Keyword: Nepal
Place Keyword: Nicaragua
Place Keyword: Niger
Place Keyword: Nigeria
Place Keyword: North Macedonia
Place Keyword: Pakistan
Place Keyword: Panama
Place Keyword: Papua New Guinea
Place Keyword: Paraguay
Place Keyword: Peru
Place Keyword: Philippines
Place Keyword: Romania
Place Keyword: Rwanda
Place Keyword: Sao Tome and Principe
Place Keyword: Senegal
Place Keyword: Serbia
Place Keyword: Sierra Leone
Place Keyword: Somalia
Place Keyword: South Africa
Place Keyword: South Sudan
Place Keyword: Sri Lanka
Place Keyword: Sudan
Place Keyword: Suriname
Place Keyword: Tajikistan
Place Keyword: Tanzania
Place Keyword: Thailand
Place Keyword: Timor-Leste
Place Keyword: Togo
Place Keyword: Tunisia
Place Keyword: Turkey
Place Keyword: Turkmenistan
Place Keyword: Uganda
Place Keyword: Uruguay
Place Keyword: Uzbekistan
Place Keyword: Venezuela
Place Keyword: Vietnam
Place Keyword: Zambia
Place Keyword: Zimbabwe
Access Constraints: None
Use Constraints:
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0). Users are free to use, copy, distribute, transmit, and adapt the work for commercial and non-commercial purposes, without restriction, as long as clear attribution of the source is provided.
Point of Contact:
Contact Information:
Contact Organization Primary:
Contact Organization: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC)
Contact Address:
Address Type: mailing and physical address
Address: CIESIN, Columbia University, 61 Route 9W, P.O. Box 1000
City: Palisades
State or Province: New York
Postal Code: 10964
Country: United States
Contact Voice Telephone: +1 845-365-8920
Contact Facsimile Telephone: +1 845-365-8922
Contact Electronic Mail Address: ciesin.info@ciesin.columbia.edu
Browse Graphic:
Cross Reference:
Citation Information:
Originator: Jones, B., and Center for International Earth Science Information Network - CIESIN - Columbia University
Publication Date: 20220708
Title: Documentation for Groundswell Population and Migration Projections at One-Eighth Degree According to SSPs and RCPs, 2010-2050
Geospatial Data Presentation Form: documentation
Publication Information:
Publication Place: Palisades, NY
Publisher: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center
Online Linkage: https://doi.org/10.7927/2wn9-ww02
Spatial Data Organization Information
Section Index
Direct Spatial Reference Method: Vector
Spatial Reference Information
Section Index
Horizontal Coordinate System Definition:
Geographic:
Latitude Resolution: 0.125000
Longitude Resolution: 0.125000
Geographic Coordinate Units: Decimal degrees
Geodetic Model:
Horizontal Datum Name: WGS84
Ellipsoid Name: WGS84
Semi-major Axis: 6378137.000000
Denominator of Flattening Ratio: 298.257224
Distribution Information
Section Index
Distributor:
Contact Information:
Contact Organization Primary:
Contact Organization: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC)
Contact Address:
Address Type: mailing and physical address
Address: CIESIN, Columbia University, 61 Route 9W, P.O. Box 1000
City: Palisades
State or Province: New York
Postal Code: 10964
Country: United States
Contact Voice Telephone: +1 845-365-8920
Contact Facsimile Telephone: +1 845-365-8922
Contact Electronic Mail Address: ciesin.info@ciesin.columbia.edu
Resource Description: CIESIN_SEDAC_CLIMMIG_GSPMP18SR
Distribution Liability:
CIESIN follows procedures designed to ensure that data disseminated by CIESIN are of reasonable quality. If, despite these procedures, users encounter apparent errors or misstatements in the data, they should contact SEDAC User Services at +1 845-365-8920 or via email at ciesin.info@ciesin.columbia.edu. Neither CIESIN nor NASA verifies or guarantees the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of any data provided. CIESIN provides this data without warranty of any kind whatsoever, either expressed or implied. CIESIN shall not be liable for incidental, consequential, or special damages arising out of the use of any data provided by CIESIN.
Standard Order Process:
Digital Form:
Digital Transfer Information:
Fees: 0
Ordering Instructions:
The data in Esri Geodatabase (.gdb) and GeoPackage (.gpkg) formats; and the maps in Portable Document Format (.pdf), and Portable Network Graphics (.png) formats are available from the NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC).
Standard Order Process:
Digital Form:
Digital Transfer Information:
Format Name: Geodatabase
File Decompression Technique: Unzip
Digital Transfer Option:
Online Option:
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Access Instructions: Data accessible via the data set landing page.
Digital Form:
Digital Transfer Information:
Format Name: GeoPackage
File Decompression Technique: Unzip
Digital Transfer Option:
Online Option:
Computer Contact Information:
Access Instructions: Data accessible via the data set landing page.
Digital Form:
Digital Transfer Information:
Digital Transfer Option:
Online Option:
Computer Contact Information:
Access Instructions: Maps accessible via the data set landing page.
Digital Form:
Digital Transfer Information:
Digital Transfer Option:
Online Option:
Computer Contact Information:
Access Instructions: Maps accessible via the data set landing page.
Available Time Period:
Time Period Information:
Range of Dates/Times:
Beginning Date: 2022/07/08
Ending Date: Present
Metadata Reference Information
Section Index
Metadata Date: 2021/11/11
Metadata Review Date: 2022/10/12
Metadata Contact:
Contact Information:
Contact Organization Primary:
Contact Organization: Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN) Metadata Administration
Contact Address:
Address Type: mailing and physical address
Address: CIESIN, Columbia University, 61 Route 9W, P.O. Box 1000
City: Palisades
State or Province: New York
Postal Code: 10964
Country: United States
Contact Voice Telephone: +1 845-365-8988
Contact Facsimile Telephone: +1 845-365-8922
Contact Electronic Mail Address: metadata@ciesin.columbia.edu
Metadata Standard Name: FGDC Content Standards for Digital Geospatial Metadata
Metadata Standard Version: FGDC-STD-001-1998
Metadata Time Convention: local time
GeoMedia
Catalog report generated Wednesday, October 12, 2022