Monte Carlo Parameter Model (PARM) Definition Parametera
1 Nonfuel Cost of Electric HUIL 2 Biomass Cost BIOPSM 3 Interfuel Substitution (final demand) RPJ, RPJK 4 Energy/GNP Feedback: OECD RYL 5 Energy/GNP Feedback: LDC's (ex MIDEAST) RYL 6 Energy/GNP Feedback: MIDEAST RYL 7 Income Elasticity: OECD RYKK 8 Income Elasticity: USSR RYKL 9 Income Elasticity: LDC's RYKL 10 Interfuel Substitution (utilities) RUI 11 Aggregate Energy Price Elasticity RPK, RPKK 12 Exogenous End-Use Energy Efficiency TKL 13 Population OECD & USSR: 1950 ZLM 14 Population OECD & USSR: 1975 ZLM 15 Population OECD & USSR: 2000 ZLM 16 Population OECD & USSR: 2025 ZLM 17 Population OECD & USSR: 2050 ZLM 18 Population OECD & USSR: 2075 ZLM 19 Population China: 1950 ZLM 20 Population China: 1975 ZLM 21 Population China: 2000 ZLM 22 Population China: 2025 ZLM 23 Population China: 2050 ZLM 24 Population China: 2075 ZLM 25 Population LDC's (ex. China): 1950 ZLM 26 Population LDC's (ex. China): 1975 ZLM 27 Population LDC's (ex. China): 2000 ZLM 28 Population LDC's (ex. China): 2025 ZLM 29 Population LDC's (ex. China): 2050 ZLM 30 Population LDC's (ex. China): 2075 ZLM 31 Labor Productivity OECD + USSR PROL 32 Labor Productivity LDC's PROL 33 Oil Supply Elasticity RIL 34 Conventional Oil Resource: OECD: Grade 1 RIGISL 35 Conventional Oil Resource: OECD: Grade 2 RIGISL 36 Conventional Oil Resource: OECD: Grade 3 RIGISL 37 Conventional Oil Resource: OECD: Grade 4 RIGISL 38 Conventional Oil Resource: OECD: Grade 5 RIGISL 39 Conventional Oil Resource: LDCs (ex. MIDEAST): Grade 1 RIGISL 40 Conventional Oil Resource: LDCs (ex. MIDEAST): Grade 2 RIGISL 41 Conventional Oil Resource: LDCs (ex. MIDEAST): Grade 3 RIGISL
TABLE 1. THE 79 MONTE CARLO INPUT PARAMETERS (continued)
Monte Carlo Parameter Model (PARM) Definition Parameter
42 Conventional Oil Resource: LDCs (ex. MIDEAST): Grade 4 RIGISL 43 Conventional Oil Resource: LDCs (ex. MIDEAST): Grade 5 RIGISL 44 Conventional Oil Resource: MIDEAST: Grade 1 RIGISL 45 Conventional Oil Resource: MIDEAST: Grade 2 RIGISL 46 Conventional Oil Resource: MIDEAST: Grade 3 RIGISL 47 Conventional Oil Resource: MIDEAST: Grade 4 RIGISL 48 Conventional Oil Resource: MIDEAST: Grade 5 RIGISL 49 Natural Gas Resource: Grade 1 RIGISL 50 Natural Gas Resource: Grade 2 RIGISL 51 Natural Gas Resource: Grade 3 RIGISL 52 Natural Gas Resource: Grade 4 RIGISL 53 Natural Gas Supply Elasticity RIL 54 Coal Resources: Grade 1 RIGISL 55 Coal Resources: Grade 2 RIGISL 56 Coal Resources: Grade 3 RIGISL 57 Coal Resources: Grade 4 RIGISL 58 Coal Resources: Grade 5 RIGISL 59 Coal Supply Elasticity RIL 60 Technological Change, Coal STISL 61 Environmental Costs: Coal: OECD VISL 62 Environemntal Costs: Coal: Non-OECD VISL 63 Shale Oil Resource: Grade 1 RIGISL 64 Shale Oil Resource: Grade 2 RIGISL 65 Shale Oil Resource: Grade 3 RIGISL 66 Shale Oil Resource: Grade 4 RIGISL 67 Shale Oil Supply Elasticity RIL 68 Technological Change: Shale Oil STISL 69 Environmental Costs: Shale Oil VISL 70 Nuclear Power Resources: Grade 1 RIGISL 71 Nuclear Power Resources: Grade 2 RIGISL 72 Nuclear Power Resources: Grade 3 RIGISL 73 Environmental Costs: Nuclear VISL 74 Technological change: Nuclear STISL 75 Solar Electric Cost: Year 2000 CSLT 76 Technological Change: Solarb b 77 Synfuel Costs: Synoil HCILT 78 Synfuel Process Efficiency GCI 79 Hydroelectric Resource Base HYDRO