TABLE 8. ASSUMED CORRELATIONS

PARM	Correlation	Explanation		Justification

5.4 .8 Regional E/GNP Similar transmission 5,6 .8 feedback elasticities mechanisms in all regions, but magnitude of response is uncertain. 7,8 .9 Regional income Similar transmission mechanism, 7,9 .7 elasticities Middle East may be less similar due to dominance of oil production in the economy. 31,32 .9 Regional productivity Engine of growth hypothesis, growth linked via capital, knowledge flows. 12,31 .9 Labor and energy Increase in basic knowledge productivity is the driving force and affects all factors equally. 31,60 .6 Labor productivity Increase in basic knowledge 31,68 .6 and technological is the driving force and 31,74 .6 change in energy affects labor productivity production and energy production technologies similarly. 31,69 .9 Labor productivity Higher income/capita places 31,73 .9 and environmental higher demands for clean costs environment. 61,62 .6 Regional environmental Similar regulations may be costs for coal adopted internationally.


The data selection approximates these correlations within a tolerance limit and additional correlations are implied by the primary correlations specified here. See Appendix C for actual correlations under both the assumption of zero correlation and the correlation targets given here.