| A1 comparison | ||||||||||||
| SRES Regions | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 | 2080 | 2090 | 2100 |
| Downscaled Projection A1/B1 POP Data (in persons) | ||||||||||||
| OECD90 | 863453974 | 918968054 | 965005526 | 1006316119 | 1042992577 | 1069301884 | 1080733216 | 1084225163 | 1088572318 | 1098121708 | 1107678467 | 1109469483 |
| ASIA | 2807031703 | 3260398000 | 3619833700 | 3936089297 | 4147406111 | 4238300605 | 4219310232 | 4084117228 | 3866642275 | 3588667059 | 3258134180 | 2881701986 |
| REF | 411791162 | 418707700 | 427163520 | 433378144 | 434860169 | 432834074 | 422733126 | 408524068 | 392058371 | 374370349 | 357458767 | 338743089 |
| ALM | 1199640513 | 1518595120 | 1874839801 | 2239794728 | 2556500496 | 2789505189 | 2979402783 | 3088768436 | 3114851291 | 3063652348 | 2933683122 | 2725573426 |
| TOTAL | 5281917353 | 6116668874 | 6886842547 | 7615578288 | 8181759353 | 8529941752 | 8702179357 | 8665634895 | 8462124255 | 8124811464 | 7656954537 | 7055487984 |
| SRES A1B-AIM Marker Scenario Data(in millions) | ||||||||||||
| OECD90 | 859 | 919 | 960 | 1002 | 1043 | 1062 | 1081 | 1086 | 1091 | 1097 | 1103 | 1110 |
| ASIA | 2798 | 3261 | 3556 | 3851 | 4147 | 4183 | 4220 | 4016 | 3822 | 3541 | 3194 | 2882 |
| REF | 413 | 419 | 424 | 430 | 435 | 429 | 423 | 406 | 391 | 374 | 356 | 339 |
| ALM | 1192 | 1519 | 1865 | 2211 | 2557 | 2761 | 2980 | 3024 | 3067 | 3013 | 2866 | 2727 |
| World | 5262 | 6117 | 6805 | 7493 | 8182 | 8439 | 8704 | 8538 | 8375 | 8030 | 7528 | 7056 |
| % Difference | ||||||||||||
| OECD90 | 0.52 | 0.00 | 0.52 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 0.69 | -0.02 | -0.16 | -0.22 | 0.10 | 0.42 | -0.05 |
| ASIA | 0.32 | -0.02 | 1.80 | 2.21 | 0.01 | 1.32 | -0.02 | 1.70 | 1.17 | 1.35 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| REF | -0.29 | -0.07 | 0.75 | 0.79 | -0.03 | 0.89 | -0.06 | 0.62 | 0.27 | 0.10 | 0.41 | -0.08 |
| ALM | 0.64 | -0.03 | 0.53 | 1.30 | -0.02 | 1.03 | -0.02 | 2.14 | 1.56 | 1.68 | 2.36 | -0.05 |
| TOTAL | 0.38 | -0.01 | 1.20 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 1.08 | -0.02 | 1.49 | 1.04 | 1.18 | 1.71 | -0.01 |
| B1 comparison | ||||||||||||
| SRES Regions | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 | 2080 | 2090 | 2100 |
| Downscaled Projection A1/B1 POP Data (in persons) | ||||||||||||
| OECD90 | 806610969 | 851398966 | 888027602 | 920310710 | 948808602 | 968414087 | 974654972 | 981459319 | 988713299 | 1000491661 | 1011818000 | 1015260420 |
| ASIA | 2807031703 | 3260398000 | 3619833700 | 3936089297 | 4147406111 | 4238300605 | 4219310232 | 4084117228 | 3866642275 | 3588667059 | 3258134180 | 2881701986 |
| REF | 411791162 | 418707700 | 427163520 | 433378144 | 434860169 | 432834074 | 422733126 | 408524068 | 392058371 | 374370349 | 357458767 | 338743089 |
| ALM | 1256483519 | 1586164208 | 1951817724 | 2325800137 | 2650684471 | 2890392985 | 3085481027 | 3191534280 | 3214710310 | 3161282395 | 3029543589 | 2819782489 |
| TOTAL | 5281917353 | 6116668874 | 6886842547 | 7615578288 | 8181759353 | 8529941752 | 8702179357 | 8665634895 | 8462124255 | 8124811464 | 7656954537 | 7055487984 |
| SRES B1-IMAGE Marker Scenario POP Data(in millions) | ||||||||||||
| OECD90 | 799 | 849 | 890 | 932 | 965 | 990 | 1001 | 1005 | 1009 | 1020 | 1029 | 1032 |
| ASIA | 2781 | 3246 | 3609 | 3929 | 4142 | 4235 | 4220 | 4088 | 3871 | 3594 | 3262 | 2886 |
| REF | 412 | 429 | 437 | 443 | 445 | 443 | 432 | 419 | 401 | 384 | 365 | 347 |
| ALM | 1287 | 1597 | 1954 | 2315 | 2643 | 2879 | 3055 | 3159 | 3202 | 3145 | 3006 | 2783 |
| World | 5280 | 6122 | 6892 | 7618 | 8196 | 8547 | 8708 | 8671 | 8484 | 8142 | 7663 | 7047 |
| % Difference | ||||||||||||
| OECD90 | 0.95 | 0.28 | -0.22 | -1.25 | -1.68 | -2.18 | -2.63 | -2.34 | -2.01 | -1.91 | -1.67 | -1.62 |
| ASIA | 0.94 | 0.44 | 0.30 | 0.18 | 0.13 | 0.08 | -0.02 | -0.09 | -0.11 | -0.15 | -0.12 | -0.15 |
| REF | -0.05 | -2.40 | -2.25 | -2.17 | -2.28 | -2.29 | -2.15 | -2.50 | -2.23 | -2.51 | -2.07 | -2.38 |
| ALM | -2.37 | -0.68 | -0.11 | 0.47 | 0.29 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 1.03 | 0.40 | 0.52 | 0.78 | 1.32 |
| TOTAL | 0.04 | -0.09 | -0.07 | -0.03 | -0.17 | -0.20 | -0.07 | -0.06 | -0.26 | -0.21 | -0.08 | 0.12 |
| Note: Cyprus and Turkey are listed in the region of Middle East with IMAGE model which was used for B1 marker scenario. | ||||||||||||
| A2 comparison | ||||||||||||
| SRES Regions | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 | 2080 | 2090 | 2100 |
| Downscaled Projection A2 POP Data (in persons) | ||||||||||||
| OECD90 | 863453974 | 923245398 | 981664036 | 1029930599 | 1075838181 | 1116917530 | 1151502367 | 1193408910 | 1249709120 | 1319583071 | 1402454114 | 1496393669 |
| ASIA | 2807031703 | 3295410000 | 3802572400 | 4307752101 | 4815827755 | 5313943230 | 5763455913 | 6188103412 | 6575064532 | 6897184124 | 7144815063 | 7339360513 |
| REF | 411791162 | 421396000 | 439888400 | 455138796 | 472264579 | 494995451 | 518529979 | 548746001 | 584191109 | 622774682 | 663455049 | 705942444 |
| ALM | 1199640513 | 1529987925 | 1942914657 | 2397763727 | 2882120080 | 3372474710 | 3861416569 | 4321455074 | 4731242120 | 5063356215 | 5313477600 | 5524837053 |
| TOTAL | 5281917353 | 6170039323 | 7167039493 | 8190585223 | 9246050595 | 1.0298E+10 | 1.1295E+10 | 1.2252E+10 | 1.314E+10 | 1.3903E+10 | 1.4524E+10 | 1.5067E+10 |
| SRES A2-ASF Marker Scenario POP Data (in millions) | ||||||||||||
| OECD90 | 851 | 923 | 975 | 1027 | 1072 | 1131 | 1151 | 1202 | 1228 | 1323 | 1451 | 1496 |
| ASIA | 2791 | 3295 | 3801 | 4308 | 4779 | 5500 | 5764 | 6137 | 6333 | 6858 | 7214 | 7340 |
| REF | 418 | 421 | 438 | 454 | 473 | 507 | 519 | 551 | 568 | 622 | 684 | 706 |
| ALM | 1222 | 1530 | 1974 | 2417 | 2846 | 3578 | 3862 | 4250 | 4458 | 5025 | 5394 | 5526 |
| World | 5282 | 6170 | 7188 | 8206 | 9170 | 10715 | 11296 | 12139 | 12587 | 13828 | 14743 | 15068 |
| % Difference | ||||||||||||
| OECD90 | 1.46 | 0.03 | 0.68 | 0.29 | 0.36 | -1.25 | 0.04 | -0.71 | 1.77 | -0.26 | -3.35 | 0.03 |
| ASIA | 0.57 | 0.01 | 0.04 | -0.01 | 0.77 | -3.38 | -0.01 | 0.83 | 3.82 | 0.57 | -0.96 | -0.01 |
| REF | -1.49 | 0.09 | 0.43 | 0.25 | -0.16 | -2.37 | -0.09 | -0.41 | 2.85 | 0.12 | -3.00 | -0.01 |
| ALM | -1.83 | 0.00 | -1.57 | -0.80 | 1.27 | -5.74 | -0.02 | 1.68 | 6.13 | 0.76 | -1.49 | -0.02 |
| TOTAL | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.29 | -0.19 | 0.83 | -3.89 | -0.01 | 0.93 | 4.40 | 0.54 | -1.48 | -0.01 |