Land Use and Land Cover (LULC)

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Global Grid of Probabilities of Urban Expansion to 2030, v1 (2000 – 2030)

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Identification Information:

Citation:
Citation Information:
Originator: Seto, K., B. Güneralp, and L.R. Hutyra
Publication Date: 20160304
Publication Time:
Title:
Global Grid of Probabilities of Urban Expansion to 2030
Edition: 1.00
Geospatial Data Presentation Form: raster, map, map service
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Publication Information:
Publication Place: Palisades, NY
Publisher: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC)
Other Citation Details:
Online Linkage: https://doi.org/10.7927/H4Z899CG
Larger Work Citation:
Citation Information:
Originator: Seto, K., B. Güneralp, and L.R. Hutyra
Publication Date: 20121002
Publication Time:
Title:
Global Forecasts of Urban Expansion to 2030 and Direct Impacts on Biodiversity and Carbon Pools
Edition:
Geospatial Data Presentation Form: journal article
Series Information:
Series Name: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)
Issue Identification: 109 (40): 16083-16088
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Online Linkage: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1211658109
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Abstract:
The Global Grid of Probabilities of Urban Expansion to 2030 presents spatially explicit probabilistic forecasts of global urban land cover change from 2000 to 2030 at a 2.5 arc-minute resolution. For each grid cell that is non-urban in 2000, a Monte-Carlo model assigned a probability of becoming urban by the year 2030. The authors first extracted urban extent circa 2000 from the NASA MODIS Land Cover Type Product Version 5, which provides a conservative estimate of global urban land cover. The authors then used population densities from the Global Rural-Urban Mapping Project, Version 1 (GRUMPv1) to create the population density driver map. They estimated the amount of new urban land in each United Nations region by 2030 in a Monte-Carlo fashion based on present empirical distribution of regional urban population densities and probability density functions of projected regional population and GDP values for 2030. To facilitate integration with other data products, CIESIN reprojected the data from Goode's Homolosine to Geographic WGS84 projection.
Purpose:
To assess likely future areas of urban expansion up to the year 2030.
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Beginning Date: 20000101
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Ending Date: 20301231
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Currentness Reference:
publication date
Status:
Progress: Complete
Maintenance and Update Frequency: As needed
Spatial Domain:
Bounding Coordinates:
West Bounding Coordinate: -180.000000
East Bounding Coordinate: 180.000000
North Bounding Coordinate: 90.000000
South Bounding Coordinate: -90.000000
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Keywords:
Theme:
Theme Keyword Thesaurus: SEDAC Theme
Theme Keyword: Land Use
Theme Keyword: Population
Theme Keyword: Urban
Theme:
Theme Keyword Thesaurus: Data Granularity
Theme Keyword: Global
Theme:
Theme Keyword Thesaurus: ISO Topic
Theme Keyword: Imagery/Base Maps/Earth Cover
Theme:
Theme Keyword Thesaurus: GCMD Science Keywords, Version 8.6
Theme Keyword: EARTH SCIENCE > HUMAN DIMENSIONS > HABITAT CONVERSION/FRAGMENTATION > URBANIZATION/URBAN SPRAWL
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Place Keyword Thesaurus: CIESIN Location Terms, Version 3.1
Place Keyword: Global
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Access Constraints: None
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Users are free to use, copy, distribute, transmit, and adapt the work for commercial and non-commercial purposes, without restriction, as long as clear attribution of the source is provided.
Point of Contact:
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Contact Organization Primary:
Contact Organization: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC)
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Address Type: mailing and physical address
Address:
CIESIN, Columbia University, 61 Route 9W, P.O. Box 1000
City: Palisades
State or Province: New York
Postal Code: 10964
Country: USA
Contact Voice Telephone: +1 845-365-8920
Contact TDD/TTY Telephone:
Contact Facsimile Telephone: +1 845-365-8922
Contact Electronic Mail Address: ciesin.info@ciesin.columbia.edu
Hours of Service:
Contact Instructions:
Browse Graphic:
Browse Graphic File Name: https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/downloads/maps/lulc/lulc-global-grid-prob-urban-expansion-2030/lulc-global-grid-prob-urban-expansion-2030-thumbnail.jpg
Browse Graphic File Description:
Global Probabilities of Urban Expansion (2000-2030)
Browse Graphic File Type: JPEG
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Indirect Spatial Reference Method:
Direct Spatial Reference Method: Raster
Raster Object Information:
Raster Object Type: Grid Cell
Row Count: 2907
Column Count: 7481
Vertical Count: 1
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Horizontal Coordinate System Definition:
Geographic:
Latitude Resolution: 0.048126
Longitude Resolution: 0.048126
Geographic Coordinate Units: Decimal degrees
Geodetic Model:
Horizontal Datum Name: WGS84
Ellipsoid Name: WGS84
Semi-major Axis: 6378137.000000
Denominator of Flattening Ratio: 298.257224
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Distribution Information:

Distributor:
Contact Information:
Contact Organization Primary:
Contact Organization: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC)
Contact Person:
Contact Position:
Contact Address:
Address Type: mailing and physical address
Address:
CIESIN, Columbia University, 61 Route 9W, P.O. Box 1000
City: Palisades
State or Province: New York
Postal Code: 10964
Country: USA
Contact Voice Telephone: +1 845-365-8920
Contact TDD/TTY Telephone:
Contact Facsimile Telephone: +1 845-365-8922
Contact Electronic Mail Address: ciesin.info@ciesin.columbia.edu
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Contact Instructions:
Resource Description: CIESIN_SEDAC_LULC_PUEXPANS_2030
Distribution Liability:
CIESIN follows procedures designed to ensure that data disseminated by CIESIN are of reasonable quality. If, despite these procedures, users encounter apparent errors or misstatements in the data, they should contact SEDAC User Services at +1 845-365-8920 or via email at ciesin.info@ciesin.columbia.edu. Neither CIESIN nor NASA verifies or guarantees the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of any data provided. CIESIN provides this data without warranty of any kind whatsoever, either expressed or implied. CIESIN shall not be liable for incidental, consequential, or special damages arising out of the use of any data provided by CIESIN.
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Fees: 0
Ordering Instructions:
The data in Georeferenced Tagged Image File Format (.tif), in the Geographic and Goode Homolosine Projections; the maps in Portable Document Format (.pdf), and Portable Network Graphics (.png) formats; and the web map services are available from the NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC).
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Format Name: GeoTIFF
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File Decompression Technique: Unzip
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Network Resource Name: https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/lulc-global-grid-prob-urban-expansion-2030/data-download
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Data accessible via the data set landing page.
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Network Resource Name: https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/lulc-global-grid-prob-urban-expansion-2030/maps
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Maps accessible via the data set landing page.
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Format Name: PNG
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Network Resource Name: https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/lulc-global-grid-prob-urban-expansion-2030/maps
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Maps accessible via the data set landing page.
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Network Resource Name: https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/lulc-global-grid-prob-urban-expansion-2030/maps/services
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Web Map Services accessible via the data set landing page.
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Beginning Date: 20160304
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Ending Date: Present
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Metadata Reference Information:

Metadata Date: 20140929
Metadata Review Date: 20220414
Metadata Future Review Date:
Metadata Contact:
Contact Information:
Contact Organization Primary:
Contact Organization: Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN) Metadata Administration
Contact Person:
Contact Position:
Contact Address:
Address Type: mailing and physical address
Address:
CIESIN, Columbia University, 61 Route 9W, P.O. Box 1000
City: Palisades
State or Province: New York
Postal Code: 10964
Country: USA
Contact Voice Telephone: +1 845-365-8988
Contact TDD/TTY Telephone:
Contact Facsimile Telephone: +1 845-365-8922
Contact Electronic Mail Address: metadata@ciesin.columbia.edu
Hours of Service:
Contact Instructions:
Metadata Standard Name: FGDC Content Standards for Digital Geospatial Metadata
Metadata Standard Version: FGDC-STD-001-1998
Metadata Time Convention: local time
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