Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)

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Global 1-km Downscaled Urban Land Extent Projection and Base Year Grids by SSP Scenarios, v1 (2000 – 2100)

Purpose:
To provide global SSP-consistent spatial urban land projections and base year grids based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) data at a resolution of 1-km (about 30 arc-seconds) for climate, socioeconomic, environmental, and other related research.
Abstract:
The Global 1-km Downscaled Urban Land Extent Projection and Base Year Grids by SSP Scenarios, 2000-2100 consists of global SSP-consistent spatial urban land fraction data for the base year 2000 and projections at ten-year intervals for 2010-2100 at a resolution of 1-km (about 30 arc-seconds). An algorithm was developed and validated to downscale the 1/8-degree resolution data set to 1-km resolution. For a given decade, the downscaling algorithm allocates the 1/8-degree decadal amount of urban land expansion to 1-km grid cells in proportion to their total urban land amounts at the beginning of the decade. The algorithm uses an iterative process to collect any overflows from already highly-developed 1-km grid cells, and then allocates them to 1-km grid cells that are not yet fully developed. This iterative process repeats itself until all 1/8-degree amounts of urban land expansion are allocated to 1-km grid cells with no overflow. The downscaling process is applied decade by decade throughout the 21st century for each urban land expansion scenario. The final product is a set of global maps displaying the 1-km fraction of urban land, updated at decadal intervals throughout the 21st century, for five different urban land expansion scenarios consistent with the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs).
Recommended Citation(s)*:

Gao, J. and M. Pesaresi. 2021. Global 1-km Downscaled Urban Land Extent Projection and Base Year Grids by SSP Scenarios, 2000-2100. Palisades, New York: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). https://doi.org/10.7927/1z4r-ez63. Accessed DAY MONTH YEAR.

ENW (EndNote & RefWorks)†
RIS (Others)

Gao, J. and M. Pesaresi. 2021. Downscaling SSP-consistent Global Spatial Urban Land Projections from 1/8-degree to 1-km Resolution 2000-2100. Scientific Data 8(1): 281. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-021-01052-0.

ENW (EndNote & RefWorks)†
RIS (Others)

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